On the Optimization of Investment Strategies in the Context of Virtual Financial Market by the Individual Approach to Risk
نویسندگان
چکیده
The optimal financial investment (Portfolio) problemwas investigated by leading financial organizations and scientists. Nobel prizes were awarded for theModern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and further developments. The aim of these works was to define the optimal diversification of the assets depending on the acceptable risk level. In contrast, the objective of this work is to provide a flexible, easily adaptable model of virtual financial markets designed for the needs of individual users in the context of utility theory. The aim is to optimize investment strategies. This aim is the new element of the proposed model and simulation system since optimization is performed in the space of investment strategies; both short term and longer term. The new and unexpected result of experiments with the historical financial time series using the PORTFOLIO model is the observation that the minimal prediction errors do not provide the maximal profits.
منابع مشابه
Continuous time portfolio optimization
This paper presents dynamic portfolio model based on the Merton's optimal investment-consumption model, which combines dynamic synthetic put option using risk-free and risky assets. This paper is extended version of methodological paper published by Yuan Yao (2012). Because of the long history of the development of foreign financial market, with a variety of financial derivatives, the study on ...
متن کاملA Neural-Network Approach to the Modeling of the Impact of Market Volatility on Investment
In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted t...
متن کاملCharacterizing Solution for Stock Portfolio Problem via Pythagorean Fuzzy Approach
The portfolio optimization is one of the fundamental problems in asset management that aims to reduce the risk of an investment by diversifying it into assets expected to fluctuate independently. A portfolio is a grouping of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and cash equivalents, as well as their funds counterparts, including mutual, exchange- traded and closed fun...
متن کاملThe Effect of Personality Characteristics of Capital Market Analysts on Investment Trends, Risk and Return of their Performance
The relationship between finance and other social sciences as known behavioural finance, evaluate investors to the decision-making process and their reaction to different conditions of financial markets deals. In this study assumed that analysts are specialist in fundamental and technical analysis and then influence their personality characteristics is evaluated on their performance. Statistica...
متن کاملStock Price Momentum Modeling: A Grounded Theory Approach
Recently, understanding the anomalies in financial markets have severely chal-lenged the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). The price momentum is one of the anomalies described as the unexplained short-term return by Fama and French (1996). The present research strives for modeling the price momentum of winner stock in the Iranian capital market. The grounded theory method was used to explain t...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Informatica, Lith. Acad. Sci.
دوره 25 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014